Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.8% | 22.2% | -6.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -9 (82-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 33 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 32 | 8-19 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 27 | 2-11 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Smith | 23 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 19 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Kosu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum | 32 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Rickea Jackson | 31 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 29 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Azurá Stevens | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Julie Allemand | 23 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Julie Vanloo | 17 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Mercedes Russell | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Barker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Feagin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter