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2025-07-08

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 83.9% 16.1% -
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% -
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Log Adjusted 53.7% 46.3% -
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: New York Liberty +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Gray 34 4-9 2-3 1-1 7 3 1 1 5 11 9 -
J. Young 33 5-15 2-7 7-9 7 3 0 2 5 19 11 -
J. Loyd 32 5-12 0-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 10 2 -
N. Smith 26 4-5 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 2 1 11 12 -
A. Nye 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Bell 17 2-5 1-3 4-4 2 0 0 1 0 9 7 -
A. Wilson 14 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
D. Evans 14 5-9 2-4 4-4 2 1 1 0 2 16 9 -
K. Stokes 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 0 2 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stewart 37 4-14 1-2 6-9 7 5 2 1 1 15 15 -
S. Ionescu 36 9-23 1-9 9-10 8 8 2 1 3 28 21 -
L. Fiebich 33 6-11 2-6 1-1 9 2 0 3 0 15 18 -
K. Burke 32 4-7 1-4 1-3 0 0 6 0 1 10 8 -
M. Johannes 24 3-7 1-4 3-3 4 3 0 0 3 10 7 -
N. Sabally 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
R. Gardner 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Sherrod 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter