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2025-07-06

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Minnesota Lynx Spread Result
Elo 8.2% 91.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Margin 3.2% 96.8% +18.7 โœ“ (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.9% 98.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.9% 98.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 15.6% 84.4% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Lynx +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Angel Reese 37 7-16 0-0 2-2 17 6 0 1 6 16 18 -
Elizabeth Williams 36 6-12 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 12 7 -
Ariel Atkins 33 3-14 2-3 3-3 5 6 4 0 2 11 10 -
Rachel Banham 27 7-13 6-10 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 20 10 -
Michaela Onyenwere 26 4-9 1-1 2-2 8 1 0 0 0 11 11 -
Kia Nurse 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Rebecca Allen 15 1-4 0-2 0-1 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Westbeld 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
H. Van Lith 4 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kayla McBride 33 4-13 1-5 2-4 3 5 0 1 0 11 7 -
Napheesa Collier 32 7-16 0-5 7-7 7 0 0 2 3 21 11 -
C. Williams 31 10-17 2-5 3-3 8 6 0 0 2 25 20 -
Bridget Carleton 26 0-4 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
A. Smith 24 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 2 0 4 4 -
Diamond Miller 16 3-4 2-3 2-2 5 3 1 2 1 10 16 -
Natisha Hiedeman 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 -1 -
Jessica Shepard 12 2-2 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 0 2 4 5 -
M. Kliundikova 12 2-5 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 3 0 5 8 -

* = starter