Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.8% | 13.2% | -10.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -18 (68-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jewell Loyd | 32 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 24 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 24 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Dana Evans | 23 | 7-10 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| A. Nye | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Jackie Young | 21 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 20 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rivers | 31 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tina Charles | 24 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| L. Lacan | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Morrow | 22 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| B. Hartley | 20 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| H. Peters | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Marshall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter