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2025-07-05

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Valkyries Minnesota Lynx Spread Result
Elo 22.8% 77.2% -
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% -
Margin 16.7% 83.3% +8.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 37.0% 63.0% -
Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% -
Log Adjusted 22.0% 78.0% -
Points Off/Def 30.2% 69.8% -

Actual: Minnesota Lynx +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thornton 34 6-15 1-7 0-0 10 3 2 0 0 13 13 -
T. Hayes 33 8-11 5-6 2-2 3 4 0 0 1 23 18 -
V. Burton 31 2-9 1-3 1-2 3 4 0 0 3 6 1 -
T. Fagbenle 26 3-6 0-2 1-2 6 2 0 1 2 7 8 -
S. Talbot 24 4-8 2-5 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 10 10 -
K. Martin 15 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
M. Billings 14 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
J. Salaun 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
C. Zandalasini 9 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
K. Chen 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Carleton 35 3-8 1-6 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 7 7 -
N. Collier 35 8-11 1-1 5-5 6 1 1 1 3 22 17 -
K. McBride 30 3-10 2-6 4-4 0 3 0 1 1 12 5 -
C. Williams 27 6-14 3-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 15 6 -
J. Shepard 24 3-7 0-0 2-4 10 5 2 0 0 8 18 -
A. Smith 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 5 6 1 2 3 5 10 -
N. Hiedeman 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 5 5 -
D. Miller 13 2-3 2-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 8 5 -

* = starter