Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +17 (92-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Citron | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 28 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Sykes | 23 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| S. Austin | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| E. Engstler | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Dolson | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Edwards | 18 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| L. Olsen | 17 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| S. Kone | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 31 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 17 | - |
| B. Carleton | 28 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Smith | 28 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. McBride | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Williams | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Miller | 14 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Shepard | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Pili | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Kosu | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter