Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +27 (81-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Loyd | 30 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Wilson | 26 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 13 | - |
| A. Nye | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Young | 25 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | - |
| C. Gray | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | - |
| N. Smith | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Evans | 22 | 1-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| K. Stokes | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Bell | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Holmes | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McDonald | 31 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 29 | 9-18 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 13 | - |
| L. Hull | 28 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| N. Howard | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| A. Boston | 24 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Colson | 21 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Timpson | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. Turner | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter