Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +19.9 | ✓ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +39 (102-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Morrow | 27 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| S. Rivers | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| B. Hartley | 21 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Tina Charles | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 21 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Peters | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jaelyn Brown | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Marshall | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Diaby | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 29 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 27 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 20 | - |
| C. Williams | 25 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 22 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 22 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Smith | 21 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Kosu | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter