Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✗ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -11 (83-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sutton | 40 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| L. Olsen | 38 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. Citron | 34 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| S. Austin | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 25 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Dolson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Edwards | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Kone | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 32 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 16 | - |
| C. Gray | 31 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Young | 28 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Loyd | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Stokes | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Nye | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Evans | 19 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| E. Kitley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Holmes | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Bell | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter