Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +26 (85-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Rivers | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Charles | 28 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. Hartley | 25 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 24 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| H. Peters | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| L. Allen | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Morrow | 12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Brown | 12 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Diaby | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gray | 29 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 16 | - |
| A. Wilson | 27 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 25 | - |
| J. Loyd | 27 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| J. Young | 26 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| A. Nye | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Stokes | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Evans | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
| K. Bell | 13 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| E. Kitley | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Holmes | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter