Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +8 (89-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexie Hull | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Caitlin Clark | 35 | 7-20 | 1-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 35 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 33 | 12-19 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 24 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Turner | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Gray | 35 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 34 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 34 | 8-21 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | - |
| A. Nye | 27 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jackie Young | 27 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Dana Evans | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter