Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.9% | 15.1% | -9.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -21 (86-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Laksa | 28 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 25 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 23 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| A. Thomas | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 20 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Brown | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 18 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Musa | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela Onyenwere | 24 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 23 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 21 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 8 | - |
| H. Van Lith | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 21 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Angel Reese | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Westbeld | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter