Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bueckers | 37 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Arike Ogunbowale | 34 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| A. James | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Li Yueru | 24 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 19 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 24 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 17 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kaila Charles | 14 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Haley Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 29 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 29 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Rivers | 28 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 24 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Morrow | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| B. Hartley | 17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| H. Peters | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jaelyn Brown | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter