Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Golden State Valkyries | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Valkyries +11 (88-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Clark | 34 | 3-14 | 0-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 33 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | - |
| L. Hull | 33 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Boston | 30 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 20 | - |
| N. Howard | 24 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 24 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Colson | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Dantas | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| B. Turner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Timpson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Burton | 32 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| T. Hayes | 32 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| C. Bibby | 24 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Martin | 20 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Leite | 20 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Thornton | 20 | 5-11 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| L. Amihere | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| M. Billings | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Talbot | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter