Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -8 (81-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sami Whitcomb | 30 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Laksa | 28 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 28 | 4-18 | 0-8 | 7-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| M. Akoa Makani | 28 | 8-12 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| A. Thomas | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 31 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| K. Westbeld | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| L. Held | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Musa | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Brown | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 37 | 11-17 | 3-4 | 10-11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 20 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 35 | 3-16 | 1-10 | 9-9 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Johannes | 22 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 22 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rebekah Gardner | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter