Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jewell Loyd | 34 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 33 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jackie Young | 31 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Nye | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Dana Evans | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Joyner Holmes | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Kitley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 36 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 34 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Williams | 32 | 8-23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| A. Smith | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 25 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 19 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter