Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Loyd | 34 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| C. Gray | 33 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Young | 31 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| K. Stokes | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Nye | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Evans | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Bell | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Holmes | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Kitley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McBride | 36 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| B. Carleton | 34 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Williams | 32 | 8-23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| A. Smith | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 25 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| N. Collier | 19 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Miller | 14 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Pili | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter