Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +17 (88-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 30 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 28 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 28 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| H. Peters | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Rivers | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jaelyn Brown | 18 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 17 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| B. Hartley | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Diaby | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Morrow | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Marshall | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexie Hull | 31 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 29 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Caitlin Clark | 29 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 16 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| B. Turner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Timpson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter