Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +17 (88-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 30 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 28 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 28 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| H. Peters | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Rivers | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Brown | 18 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 17 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| B. Hartley | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| L. Allen | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Diaby | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Morrow | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Marshall | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hull | 31 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 29 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | - |
| C. Clark | 29 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| A. Boston | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| N. Howard | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Colson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Dantas | 16 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| B. Turner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Timpson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter