Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.5% | 60.5% | +2.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -12 (66-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Reese | 36 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 31 | - |
| A. Atkins | 31 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Cardoso | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| H. Van Lith | 24 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| E. Williams | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Allen | 18 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Onyenwere | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| K. Nurse | 16 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Banham | 14 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabrey | 39 | 7-17 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 8 | - |
| T. Charles | 36 | 8-20 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | - |
| B. Hartley | 30 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 29 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Diaby | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Allen | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Brown | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter