Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +23 (101-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jackson | 36 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| K. Plum | 33 | 5-16 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| D. Hamby | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| S. Barker | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Cannon | 22 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Stevens | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| L. King | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. Peddy | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Russell | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Feagin | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 31 | 13-16 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 32 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 25 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Carleton | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Smith | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. McBride | 21 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Williams | 18 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| D. Miller | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Pili | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Kosu | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter