Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +4 (88-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bueckers | 38 | 7-19 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| A. Ogunbowale | 38 | 9-17 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 19 | - |
| D. Carrington | 35 | 6-16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| L. Geiselsoder | 26 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| A. James | 21 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Smith | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Stokes | 33 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| J. Young | 33 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 11-11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 18 | - |
| J. Loyd | 28 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 11 | - |
| C. Gray | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| A. Nye | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Kitley | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Evans | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| K. Bell | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter