Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.3% | 13.7% | -10.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -16 (65-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 37 | 10-19 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 28 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 35 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 34 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Smith | 32 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 20 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Williams | 17 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Kliundikova | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Kosu | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale | 40 | 6-20 | 6-11 | 8-9 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 13 | - |
| L. Geiselsoder | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 28 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Maddy Siegrist | 26 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 19 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kaila Charles | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. James | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter