Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (29.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +37 (104-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 34 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 30 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 24 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| B. Hartley | 24 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | - |
| S. Rivers | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Brown | 21 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| A. Morrow | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Diaby | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| H. Peters | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Sykes | 29 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 14-15 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 23 | - |
| S. Citron | 27 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Edwards | 20 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| S. Sutton | 20 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| E. Engstler | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| S. Austin | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Dolson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Olsen | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Kone | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter