Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.1% | 14.9% | -9.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -27 (52-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexie Hull | 29 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 26 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 25 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 25 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 19 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Turner | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Timpson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel Atkins | 28 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Angel Reese | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| H. Van Lith | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 21 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Westbeld | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter