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2025-06-07

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Golden State Valkyries Spread Result
Elo 87.8% 12.2% -
Bradley-Terry 62.5% 37.5% -
Margin 51.8% 48.2% -0.4 (27.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% -
Log Adjusted 59.0% 41.0% -
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% -

Actual: Golden State Valkyries +27 (95-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young 27 1-8 0-3 2-2 3 3 0 1 2 4 1 -
A. Wilson 27 5-13 0-1 7-8 6 2 0 1 5 17 8 -
C. Gray 27 7-11 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 16 7 -
J. Loyd 26 1-6 0-3 3-5 6 1 2 0 0 5 8 -
A. Nye 26 4-9 3-8 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 13 6 -
D. Evans 18 2-7 1-1 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 7 1 -
T. Mitchell 17 2-4 0-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
K. Stokes 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 5 -
E. Kitley 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Bell 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Bradford 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thornton 36 8-16 4-8 2-2 11 2 2 0 2 22 19 -
V. Burton 32 4-10 0-2 6-6 7 12 0 1 0 14 24 -
C. Zandalasini 30 5-9 3-4 5-5 1 3 1 0 2 18 12 -
K. Martin 26 5-11 2-7 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 12 8 -
M. Billings 25 5-9 1-3 3-4 11 0 2 2 1 14 19 -
J. Salaun 21 2-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
T. Fagbenle 13 3-4 0-0 1-1 1 1 1 0 1 7 5 -
J. Vanloo 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 4 2 1 -
C. Leite 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Talbot 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Linskens 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter