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2025-06-05

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 74.4% 25.6% -
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% -
Margin 67.2% 32.8% -3.9 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 64.6% 35.4% -
Efficiency 79.0% 21.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.5% 24.5% -
Log Adjusted 75.5% 24.5% -
Points Off/Def 58.1% 41.9% -

Actual: Washington Mystics -8 (78-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stewart 35 8-16 0-3 10-13 11 1 1 1 2 26 22 -
S. Ionescu 35 3-17 2-10 5-5 3 7 2 2 3 13 7 -
L. Fiebich 31 3-5 2-4 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 9 5 -
N. Cloud 30 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 5 3 0 4 4 6 -
K. Burke 20 4-5 4-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 12 13 -
I. Harrison 15 3-7 0-1 1-2 5 0 2 0 0 7 7 -
M. Johannes 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
R. Gardner 13 2-2 1-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
J. Jones 6 1-3 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 3 5 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Citron 35 4-8 2-4 3-4 5 3 1 0 2 13 12 -
B. Sykes 32 2-9 1-2 2-6 2 5 0 0 3 7 2 -
J. Melbourne 27 6-8 2-3 1-2 2 4 1 0 1 15 13 -
S. Austin 23 3-11 0-2 3-4 11 4 1 0 1 9 13 -
S. Dolson 20 4-6 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 3 8 1 -
K. Iriafen 18 6-13 0-0 5-6 9 1 0 0 0 17 14 -
S. Sutton 17 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 -1 -
E. Engstler 14 2-4 0-1 0-1 7 2 0 0 2 4 7 -
A. Edwards 13 1-3 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
L. Olsen 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter