Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.7% | 86.3% | +10.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Sykes | 36 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| S. Citron | 33 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 27 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| S. Dolson | 26 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 26 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Sutton | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Edwards | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Austin | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| E. Engstler | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hull | 36 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 32 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 6-10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| A. Boston | 29 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. McDonald | 27 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Bonner | 21 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -3 | - |
| N. Howard | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Dantas | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| S. Colson | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Turner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter