Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Golden State Valkyries | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.4% | 33.6% | -3.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Valkyries -11 (75-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 37 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 34 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 33 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| C. Williams | 26 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| A. Smith | 26 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 15 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jessica Shepard | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Valkyries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Salaun | 28 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 24 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Kate Martin | 19 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 15 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Monique Billings | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Julie Vanloo | 15 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Leite | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter