Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.8% | 42.2% | -1.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm -7 (87-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 38 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 9-11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Rhyne Howard | 36 | 12-24 | 4-12 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 22 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 29 | 7-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 24 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Griner | 15 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Paopao | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 33 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 31 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Gabby Williams | 31 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 3 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 29 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Ezi Magbegor | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Li Yueru | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Malonga | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| L. Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter