Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.2% | 32.8% | -3.9 | ✓ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -22 (63-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ionescu | 32 | 9-16 | 4-11 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 20 | - |
| J. Jones | 30 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| L. Fiebich | 27 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| B. Stewart | 25 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| N. Cloud | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Gardner | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| K. Burke | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Johannes | 17 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| I. Harrison | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Sherrod | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Davis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Sykes | 31 | 5-18 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| S. Citron | 31 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| S. Sutton | 25 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 25 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Dolson | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Edwards | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| S. Austin | 13 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Olsen | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| E. Engstler | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter