Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -2 (83-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabrey | 37 | 10-17 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| T. Charles | 34 | 7-16 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | -4 | - |
| S. Rivers | 32 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Hartley | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| H. Peters | 18 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Parks | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Morrow | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 35 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| L. Hull | 35 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 27 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| N. Howard | 27 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Boston | 26 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Dantas | 14 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| S. Colson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Turner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter