Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.4% | 28.6% | -5.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics +6 (83-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 32 | 4-16 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 25 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 9-9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 17 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Timpson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes | 34 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 12 | - |
| S. Citron | 34 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 23 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shakira Austin | 15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| S. Dolson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Olsen | 6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter