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2025-05-28

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 86.2% 13.8% -
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% -
Margin 71.4% 28.6% -5.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% -
Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% -
Log Adjusted 78.7% 21.3% -
Points Off/Def 60.4% 39.6% -

Actual: Washington Mystics +6 (83-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Mitchell 32 4-16 2-7 4-5 1 4 1 0 0 14 4 -
S. Colson 31 2-7 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 3 4 1 -
L. Hull 31 3-8 1-3 2-3 4 2 1 0 1 9 7 -
A. Boston 29 4-5 0-0 2-4 7 4 2 3 3 10 18 -
D. Bonner 25 5-10 2-4 9-9 4 1 3 1 2 21 18 -
S. Cunningham 20 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 2 2 -
N. Howard 17 5-10 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 5 11 2 -
D. Dantas 14 2-4 0-2 2-2 4 0 1 1 1 6 7 -
M. Timpson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Sykes 34 6-17 1-2 8-10 9 4 0 2 7 21 12 -
S. Citron 34 5-12 0-4 3-3 7 1 0 0 0 13 9 -
K. Iriafen 23 7-13 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 0 2 16 11 -
S. Sutton 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 1 1 2 4 -
J. Melbourne 23 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 5 0 0 0 3 5 -
A. Edwards 20 1-5 0-0 2-4 4 1 1 0 4 4 1 -
S. Austin 15 5-9 0-0 3-4 3 0 2 1 1 13 9 -
E. Engstler 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 1 0 3 10 -
S. Dolson 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 2 4 -
L. Olsen 6 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 4 -

* = starter