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2025-05-27

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Valkyries New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 33.7% 66.3% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 33.5% 66.5% +3.8 (24.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 34.5% 65.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% -
Log Adjusted 41.6% 58.4% -
Points Off/Def 40.1% 59.9% -

Actual: New York Liberty +28 (95-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Fagbenle 31 5-5 1-1 0-1 3 4 0 1 2 11 12 -
V. Burton 30 3-11 2-7 5-5 4 6 3 0 3 13 12 -
K. Thornton 28 3-10 2-5 5-7 6 0 4 0 2 13 11 -
J. Salaun 28 3-12 3-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 4 9 1 -
S. Talbot 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 4 2 4 -
K. Martin 18 3-9 2-7 2-4 3 0 1 1 1 10 5 -
C. Leite 18 1-7 0-2 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 4 0 -
J. Vanloo 13 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
K. Linskens 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Stewart 27 10-14 1-2 3-6 1 3 3 0 1 24 16 -
S. Ionescu 27 3-8 2-6 0-0 5 6 2 0 4 8 9 -
L. Fiebich 26 3-4 2-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 8 10 -
J. Jones 25 4-12 2-5 3-6 10 5 1 1 1 13 17 -
N. Cloud 25 2-9 1-6 0-0 3 10 1 0 2 5 8 -
M. Johannes 22 6-11 6-11 0-0 2 1 4 1 4 18 11 -
K. Burke 22 3-6 0-1 1-1 5 0 1 0 0 7 7 -
R. Gardner 16 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 0 8 8 -
I. Harrison 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Sherrod 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Davis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter