Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -22 (87-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bueckers | 35 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 23 | - |
| A. Ogunbowale | 33 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| M. Siegrist | 23 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| N. Smith | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. McCowan | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Carrington | 16 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| K. Charles | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. James | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Harris | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| L. Geiselsoder | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sheldon | 33 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Charles | 29 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 28 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 7 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| S. Rivers | 22 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| B. Hartley | 19 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| H. Peters | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Morrow | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Marshall | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Parks | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Diaby | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter