Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -2 (88-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | 37 | 8-20 | 2-8 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 36 | 9-15 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Breanna Stewart | 36 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 35 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Johannes | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rebekah Gardner | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark | 38 | 6-18 | 2-11 | 4-5 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 36 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 34 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 26 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter