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2025-05-23

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Mercury Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 49.8% 50.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.3% 50.7% - โœ“
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 โœ“ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +7 (77-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Thomas 34 7-19 0-1 2-3 11 7 2 0 6 16 11 -
Satou Sabally 32 5-12 2-8 3-4 9 2 0 1 3 15 12 -
Sami Whitcomb 28 3-6 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 7 7 -
K. Westbeld 27 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 1 0 3 5 -
M. Akoa Makani 23 5-9 3-4 1-1 2 2 0 1 2 14 8 -
L. Held 17 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 3 1 2 7 6 -
K. Laksa 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Sevgi Uzun 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 3 0 3 2 2 -
K. Brown 11 2-2 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 3 6 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gabby Williams 37 4-9 3-7 0-0 5 2 2 0 3 11 8 -
Diggins-Smith 37 8-16 1-2 7-9 4 14 2 2 4 24 26 -
Nneka Ogwumike 35 11-15 1-3 1-1 8 0 1 1 1 24 18 -
Ezi Magbegor 32 3-6 0-2 0-0 7 2 1 1 2 6 9 -
E. Wheeler 23 2-9 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 6 3 -
Alysha Clark 13 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -
Zia Cooke 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Li Yueru 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 0 -2 -
D. Malonga 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
L. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter