Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Citron | 36 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 35 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| S. Sutton | 33 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Dolson | 29 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| L. Olsen | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Kone | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Engstler | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wilson | 38 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| C. Gray | 34 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| J. Young | 33 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| J. Loyd | 29 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Evans | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Stokes | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Nye | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Bell | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Bradford | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter