Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.1% | 96.9% | +18.9 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +6 (76-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabrey | 31 | 7-19 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| T. Charles | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 30 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| S. Rivers | 28 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| B. Hartley | 24 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| H. Peters | 21 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Parks | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Morrow | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 38 | 11-21 | 3-4 | 8-10 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 30 | - |
| B. Carleton | 35 | 2-11 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 30 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| C. Williams | 26 | 0-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Shepard | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Smith | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Miller | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Pili | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter