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2025-05-21

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Golden State Valkyries Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% -
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% -
Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% -
Points Off/Def 32.3% 67.7% -

Actual: Golden State Valkyries +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Citron 35 3-11 2-6 2-2 8 1 1 1 1 10 9 -
B. Sykes 33 8-19 3-5 11-14 5 3 1 0 1 30 19 -
K. Iriafen 31 5-11 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 0 10 11 -
J. Melbourne 29 3-5 1-2 1-1 7 7 1 0 5 8 13 -
S. Dolson 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 4 5 -
S. Kone 14 1-5 0-1 1-1 0 2 0 0 2 3 -2 -
S. Sutton 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Austin 10 1-1 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 5 2 1 -
L. Olsen 10 1-4 1-3 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 4 1 -
E. Engstler 6 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 1 1 3 5 -

Golden State Valkyries

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Burton 29 6-11 3-4 7-8 9 5 2 0 3 22 24 -
J. Salaun 28 4-11 1-4 1-1 4 0 1 0 3 10 1 -
T. Fagbenle 27 3-10 0-2 0-0 7 2 4 0 2 6 7 -
K. Thornton 27 5-14 2-8 6-6 5 1 2 1 1 18 12 -
M. Billings 24 3-7 0-3 1-3 3 1 1 0 0 7 5 -
C. Leite 21 2-7 1-6 5-6 2 3 0 0 0 10 8 -
J. Vanloo 13 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Hayes 13 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
K. Martin 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
S. Talbot 8 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -

* = starter