Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.9% | 94.1% | +15.3 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Bueckers | 37 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A. Ogunbowale | 35 | 8-20 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 8 | - |
| D. Carrington | 27 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| N. Smith | 25 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Siegrist | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| T. Harris | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. McCowan | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Charles | 6 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 37 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 12-12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 26 | - |
| B. Carleton | 33 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Williams | 33 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 7 | - |
| A. Smith | 29 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Shepard | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Miller | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter