Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✗ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -1 (90-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 36 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Rhyne Howard | 36 | 5-17 | 4-13 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 33 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| B. Griner | 31 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Paopao | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Thierry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark | 38 | 9-20 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 37 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 33 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 29 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Turner | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter