Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.0% | 13.0% | -10.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -25 (62-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 29 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 10-12 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Jackie Young | 24 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Dana Evans | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 21 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 21 | 7-14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Nye | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| E. Kitley | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Crystal Bradford | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 26 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| S. Rivers | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 23 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -8 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 20 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Robyn Parks | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Hartley | 20 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Diaby | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| H. Peters | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Lindsay Allen | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Marshall | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter