Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -2.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -5 (85-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Sykes | 35 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 22 | - |
| K. Iriafen | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| S. Sutton | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| S. Dolson | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Melbourne | 25 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Citron | 24 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| E. Engstler | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| L. Olsen | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Austin | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Kone | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mabrey | 35 | 5-21 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -5 | - |
| T. Charles | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 25 | - |
| J. Sheldon | 30 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| L. Allen | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| B. Hartley | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| H. Peters | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Parks | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Diaby | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter