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2025-05-17

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 83.9% 16.1% -
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% -
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 49.7% 50.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% -
Log Adjusted 53.7% 46.3% -
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: New York Liberty +14 (92-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wilson 36 11-22 1-3 8-8 16 3 2 1 4 31 27 -
C. Gray 35 4-13 3-5 1-1 3 4 2 0 2 12 6 -
J. Young 33 5-19 4-12 2-3 5 5 0 0 3 16 4 -
J. Loyd 31 2-10 1-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 5 0 -
D. Evans 19 4-7 2-2 0-1 1 3 0 1 0 10 8 -
K. Stokes 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 0 7 -
T. Mitchell 17 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Bell 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Nye 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Kitley 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Cloud 33 8-17 1-4 5-6 6 9 3 2 2 22 23 -
S. Ionescu 31 3-12 0-5 2-2 7 4 0 0 0 8 7 -
L. Fiebich 30 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 3 1 2 2 6 -
J. Jones 30 6-12 1-3 4-6 10 6 0 1 2 17 20 -
B. Stewart 27 10-14 0-2 5-5 8 3 0 1 0 25 23 -
K. Burke 17 4-7 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 10 7 -
M. Johannes 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
N. Sabally 11 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
R. Gardner 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Harrison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Sherrod 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter