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2025-05-17

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 6.7% 93.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% - โœ“
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.7 โœ“ (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 5.3% 94.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.3% 93.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.2% 93.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.5% 79.5% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +35 (93-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Courtney Vandersloot 29 2-9 0-3 0-0 4 5 1 0 2 4 3 -
Angel Reese 25 5-14 1-2 1-2 17 1 0 0 5 12 11 -
Kamilla Cardoso 22 3-9 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 2 2 7 7 -
Ariel Atkins 22 3-6 2-2 3-4 4 2 2 1 2 11 12 -
Kia Nurse 20 2-8 0-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 -3 -
Elizabeth Williams 19 0-4 0-0 1-4 7 1 1 2 2 1 6 -
Rebecca Allen 19 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 7 1 -
Rachel Banham 19 3-8 2-6 0-0 0 1 0 2 1 8 2 -
Michaela Onyenwere 17 0-7 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -5 -
M. Westbeld 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
H. Van Lith 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caitlin Clark 32 6-13 4-8 4-4 10 10 2 4 3 20 30 -
Kelsey Mitchell 30 6-12 2-4 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 15 7 -
Natasha Howard 29 6-12 0-1 3-8 5 2 3 1 4 15 10 -
DeWanna Bonner 27 2-9 0-2 3-4 3 2 2 0 0 7 5 -
Aliyah Boston 27 8-12 1-1 2-3 13 0 0 5 0 19 25 -
Lexie Hull 23 4-10 0-4 1-2 9 0 2 0 1 9 9 -
Sydney Colson 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 2 4 -
Damiris Dantas 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
B. Turner 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
M. Timpson 3 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 3 -

* = starter