Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.3% | 13.7% | -10.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -15 (84-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 32 | 12-21 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 19 | - |
| B. Carleton | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Shepard | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| C. Williams | 28 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 23 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Miller | 20 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Pili | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Badiane | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Kosu | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Siegrist | 31 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| P. Bueckers | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Ogunbowale | 28 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 27 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Carrington | 26 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| N. Smith | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Harris | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Charles | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. James | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. McCowan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| JJ Quinerly | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter