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2024-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Margin 5.9% 94.1% +15.2 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.0% 97.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +16 (80-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Colby Garland * 33 5-15 0-1 3-5 3 2 3 0 1 13 5 -13.7
Kyrell Luc * 29 5-8 0-1 5-6 3 4 1 1 2 15 14 -12.7
Michael Christmas * 26 0-8 0-5 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 -4 -18.0
Johan Nziemi * 20 4-5 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 11 7 -4.6
KJ McClurg * 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -8.6
Emanuel Richards 25 3-7 0-3 1-1 0 1 0 0 2 7 -1 -12.5
Elijah Tucker 21 1-4 0-0 2-3 5 0 2 1 2 4 6 -9.3
Angelo Brizzi 20 4-6 1-2 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 9 8 +4.7
Jaylen Benard 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -1 +5.4

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coleman Hawkins * 35 7-10 5-7 0-0 10 5 2 2 3 19 25 +17.8
Brendan Hausen * 33 6-8 3-4 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 16 13 +19.1
David N'Guessan * 19 5-7 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 10 6 +7.6
CJ Jones * 19 2-5 1-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 7 4 +10.6
Max Jones * 12 2-6 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 -1 +8.1
Dug McDaniel 29 5-8 1-3 0-1 3 6 4 0 3 11 13 +7.1
Achor Achor 17 2-6 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 4 4 2 +2.2
Macaleab Rich 17 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 8 1 +2.0
David Castillo 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -4.6
Baye Fall 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +2.5
Mobi Ikegwuruka 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Taj Manning 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Spencer Bain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.0

* = starter