Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | George Washington Revolutionaries | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: George Washington Revolutionaries +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Ty Pence * | 35 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | -6.6 |
| Landon Wolf * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Dalton Banks * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -6.0 |
| Chase Walker * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +1.2 |
| Malachi Poindexter | 27 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Caden Boser | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -5.3 |
| Cameron Barnes | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Jack Daugherty | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +2.1 |
| Cade Norris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
George Washington Revolutionaries
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darren Buchanan Jr. * | 38 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | +4.3 |
| Jacoi Hutchinson * | 34 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +4.3 |
| Gerald Drumgoole Jr. * | 31 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +4.8 |
| Rafael Castro * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +7.4 |
| Trey Moss * | 18 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -13.1 |
| Trey Autry | 28 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | +19.2 |
| Sean Hansen | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Christian Jones | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter